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Fire SuitedTier 2
at Grand Archive Store Championsips
decks
1
(6.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
0-3-1
overall winrate
12.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
30.0%
avg ELO -12.8 per match
expected value
41.4%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
40.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1294
· median 1294
· range 1294–1294
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1116
Q1 1247
Q3 1418
1678
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 40.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 20.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.4% | -20.1 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 13.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 13.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.4% | -20.1 |
| Fire Arcane | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Kongming | 6.7% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.9% | -0.2 |
| Water Tera Mage | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.2% | -10.8 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Suited decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
